MIDWEST
1. Kentucky
16. Lafayette/North Florida
8. Cincinnati
9. Oklahoma State
4. Notre Dame
13. Iona
5. Northern Iowa
12. Stephen F. Austin
2. Wisconsin
15. Northeastern
7. San Diego State
10. Georgia
3. Iowa State
14. Central Michigan
6. Wichita State
11. North Carolina State
WEST
1. Villanova
16. Coastal Carolina
8. Dayton
9. Ohio State
4. Utah
13. Harvard
5. North Carolina
12. Wofford
2. Gonzaga
15. Belmont
7. Virginia Commonwealth
10. LSU
3. Maryland
14. Eastern Washington
6. Georgetown
11. Illinois/Texas
EAST
1. Virginia
16. Texas Southern/Saint Francis (NY)
8. Xavier
9. Colorado State
4. West Virginia
13. Valpo
5. Arkansas
12. Louisiana Tech
2. Kansas
15. North Carolina Central
7. St. John's
10. Oregon
3. Oklahoma
14. UC Davis
6. Providence
11. Indiana
SOUTH
1. Duke
16. Albany
8. Michigan State
9. Davidson
4. Louisville
13. Georgia State
5. Butler
12. Temple/Purdue
2. Arizona
15. New Mexico State
7. Iowa
10. Boise State
3. Baylor
14. South Dakota State
6. SMU
11. Ole Miss
Last 4 in: Purdue, Texas, Illinois, Temple
First 4 out: BYU, Tulsa, Texas A&M, Miami (FL)
Next 4 out: UCLA, Old Dominion, Stanford, Murray State
Teams in bolded blue are conference leaders who have not yet won their conference tourney/auto-bid
Teams in bolded black have already won their conference tourney/auto-bid
Monday, March 9, 2015
Wednesday, February 25, 2015
2015 conference tournaments and homecourt advantage
Regular season basketball is winding down and some conferences will wrap up their regular season play this weekend. In six leagues, the higher-seeded team is allowed to host tournament games. These leagues are the Atlantic Sun, American East, Big Sky, Horizon League, Northeast League, and the Patriot League. The following post details which teams may have the the opportunity to play their way to the NCAA Tourney on their homecourt.
American East
Albany is very much in the driver's seat at this point, and with a win tonight at UMBC (4-23) they clinch the #1 seed and homecourt advantage in the conference tournament. If they are upset by UMBC, the Vermont Catamounts are the only other team that has a mathematical shot at getting the top seed. Vermont can get the #1 seed with a win tonight vs New Hampshire, a Albany loss at UMBC, and then beating Albany on Saturday. There's more, though: Vermont would need Stony Brook to finish #3 in the final American East standings to get the #1 seed due to the American East tiebreaker rules. If New Hampshire is the #3 seed, then Albany gets the top spot, again due to American East tiebreaker rules. Bottom line is that Albany should clinch the top seed and homecourt advantage tonight, but if they lose, it does get a little interesting.
Atlantic Sun
Florida Gulf Coast hosts North Florida tonight in what will very likely decide the ASUN's 1 seed and who will have homecourt advantage for their conference tournament. FGCU clinches the 1 seed with a win, North Florida is 1 game back of them but would have the tiebreaker over FGCU if one is needed. North Florida could force a tie with a win tonight at FGCU, then would need to beat last-place Stetson at home this weekend. Again, this scenario would create a 2-way tie between FGCU/UNF and the nod would go to UNF due to tiebreaker rules in the Atlantic Sun.
Horizon League
Valpo clinches the top seed with a win at Detroit tonight, but a loss puts Cleveland State (and Oakland and UW-Green Bay, but a little less likely) firmly in the discussion to take the #1 seed. A loss tonight puts Valpo at 12-3 in conference play setting up a massive game at Cleveland State on Friday night. In the event that both teams end up at 12-4 (which will happen if Valpo loses their next 2), crazy tiebreaker rules come into play. In the event of a tie, if Green Bay finishes in 3rd, Cleveland State gets the 1 seed (This is because Valpo is 1-1 vs UWGB, while Cleveland State is 2-0). If Oakland finishes 3rd, both teams would still be tied because both split the season series with Oakland. In this scenario, the next tiebreaker would be how CSU/Valpo fared against the 4 seed, who would be UWGB in this scenario. So, Cleveland State would again get the nod. Things get very weird if there is a 3 way tie, and won't get into that in this post. Valpo can take care of business tonight, but if they don't, it could get wild.
Northeast League
St. Francis (NY) has already clinched the 1 seed and homecourt advantage
Patriot League
Bucknell has a 2 game lead over Colgate with 2 games to play, but the Bison play both games on the road, so Colgate still has a mathematical chance. If Bucknell finishes 0-2, and Colgates finishes 2-0, then Colgate gets the 1 seed and homecourt advantage because they own the head-to-head tie over Bucknell.
Note: I didn't get to the Big Sky because they don't finish up conference play until next weekend, plus 4 teams have a legit shot at getting the #1 seed.
American East
Albany is very much in the driver's seat at this point, and with a win tonight at UMBC (4-23) they clinch the #1 seed and homecourt advantage in the conference tournament. If they are upset by UMBC, the Vermont Catamounts are the only other team that has a mathematical shot at getting the top seed. Vermont can get the #1 seed with a win tonight vs New Hampshire, a Albany loss at UMBC, and then beating Albany on Saturday. There's more, though: Vermont would need Stony Brook to finish #3 in the final American East standings to get the #1 seed due to the American East tiebreaker rules. If New Hampshire is the #3 seed, then Albany gets the top spot, again due to American East tiebreaker rules. Bottom line is that Albany should clinch the top seed and homecourt advantage tonight, but if they lose, it does get a little interesting.
Atlantic Sun
Florida Gulf Coast hosts North Florida tonight in what will very likely decide the ASUN's 1 seed and who will have homecourt advantage for their conference tournament. FGCU clinches the 1 seed with a win, North Florida is 1 game back of them but would have the tiebreaker over FGCU if one is needed. North Florida could force a tie with a win tonight at FGCU, then would need to beat last-place Stetson at home this weekend. Again, this scenario would create a 2-way tie between FGCU/UNF and the nod would go to UNF due to tiebreaker rules in the Atlantic Sun.
Horizon League
Valpo clinches the top seed with a win at Detroit tonight, but a loss puts Cleveland State (and Oakland and UW-Green Bay, but a little less likely) firmly in the discussion to take the #1 seed. A loss tonight puts Valpo at 12-3 in conference play setting up a massive game at Cleveland State on Friday night. In the event that both teams end up at 12-4 (which will happen if Valpo loses their next 2), crazy tiebreaker rules come into play. In the event of a tie, if Green Bay finishes in 3rd, Cleveland State gets the 1 seed (This is because Valpo is 1-1 vs UWGB, while Cleveland State is 2-0). If Oakland finishes 3rd, both teams would still be tied because both split the season series with Oakland. In this scenario, the next tiebreaker would be how CSU/Valpo fared against the 4 seed, who would be UWGB in this scenario. So, Cleveland State would again get the nod. Things get very weird if there is a 3 way tie, and won't get into that in this post. Valpo can take care of business tonight, but if they don't, it could get wild.
Northeast League
St. Francis (NY) has already clinched the 1 seed and homecourt advantage
Patriot League
Bucknell has a 2 game lead over Colgate with 2 games to play, but the Bison play both games on the road, so Colgate still has a mathematical chance. If Bucknell finishes 0-2, and Colgates finishes 2-0, then Colgate gets the 1 seed and homecourt advantage because they own the head-to-head tie over Bucknell.
Note: I didn't get to the Big Sky because they don't finish up conference play until next weekend, plus 4 teams have a legit shot at getting the #1 seed.
Tuesday, February 24, 2015
2/24 Bracketology
MIDWEST
1. Kentucky
16. Bucknell/Texas Southern
8. Oklahoma State
9. Colorado State
4. North Carolina
13. Louisiana Tech
5. Virginia Commonwealth
12. Harvard
2. Wisconsin
15. High Point
7. Providence
10. Temple
3. Notre Dame
14. UC Davis
6. SMU
11. Georgia
WEST
1. Gonzaga
16. Albany
8. Ole Miss
9. Texas
4. Utah
13. Iona
5. West Virginia
12. Wofford
2. Arizona
15. Florida Gulf Coast
7. Ohio State
10. Cincinnati
3. Iowa State
14. Central Michigan
6. Northern Iowa
11. North Carolina State/Davidson
EAST
1. Virginia
16. Sacramento State/Saint Francis (NY)
8. Michigan State
9. St. John's
4. Oklahoma
13. Murray State
5. Arkansas
12. Valpo
2. Villanova
15. North Carolina Central
7. Indiana
10. Dayton
3. Maryland
14. South Dakota State
6. Wichita State
11. Stanford
SOUTH
1. Duke
16. New Mexico State
8. Xavier
9. Iowa
4. Baylor
13. Sam Houston State
5. Butler
12. Tulsa/Purdue
2. Kansas
15. Georgia Southern
7. San Diego State
10. LSU
3. Louisville
14. Northeastern
6. Georgetown
11. Illinois
Last 4 in: Tulsa, Davidson, North Carolina State, Purdue
First 4 out: Oregon, Texas A&M, UCLA, Pittsburgh
Next 4 out: Boise State, Old Dominion, UMass, Miami FL
Teams in bold are conference leaders (projected auto-bids)
1. Kentucky
16. Bucknell/Texas Southern
8. Oklahoma State
9. Colorado State
4. North Carolina
13. Louisiana Tech
5. Virginia Commonwealth
12. Harvard
2. Wisconsin
15. High Point
7. Providence
10. Temple
3. Notre Dame
14. UC Davis
6. SMU
11. Georgia
WEST
1. Gonzaga
16. Albany
8. Ole Miss
9. Texas
4. Utah
13. Iona
5. West Virginia
12. Wofford
2. Arizona
15. Florida Gulf Coast
7. Ohio State
10. Cincinnati
3. Iowa State
14. Central Michigan
6. Northern Iowa
11. North Carolina State/Davidson
EAST
1. Virginia
16. Sacramento State/Saint Francis (NY)
8. Michigan State
9. St. John's
4. Oklahoma
13. Murray State
5. Arkansas
12. Valpo
2. Villanova
15. North Carolina Central
7. Indiana
10. Dayton
3. Maryland
14. South Dakota State
6. Wichita State
11. Stanford
SOUTH
1. Duke
16. New Mexico State
8. Xavier
9. Iowa
4. Baylor
13. Sam Houston State
5. Butler
12. Tulsa/Purdue
2. Kansas
15. Georgia Southern
7. San Diego State
10. LSU
3. Louisville
14. Northeastern
6. Georgetown
11. Illinois
Last 4 in: Tulsa, Davidson, North Carolina State, Purdue
First 4 out: Oregon, Texas A&M, UCLA, Pittsburgh
Next 4 out: Boise State, Old Dominion, UMass, Miami FL
Teams in bold are conference leaders (projected auto-bids)
Monday, February 16, 2015
2/16 Bracketology
MIDWEST
1. Kentucky
16. New Mexico State/Texas Southern
8. Michigan State
9. Texas
4. Baylor
13. Iona
5. Butler
12. Wofford
2. Wisconsin
15. Florida Gulf Coast
7. Oklahoma State
10. Cincinnati
3. Notre Dame
14. UC Davis
6. Arkansas
11. Stanford
WEST
1. Villanova
16. Louisiana-Monroe
8. Dayton
9. Colorado State
4. North Carolina
13. Murray State
5. Virginia Commonwealth
12. Valpo
2. Gonzaga
15. High Point
7. Ohio State
10. Ole Miss
3. Iowa State
14. Sam Houston State
6. Indiana
11. Pittsburgh/Tulsa
EAST
1. Virginia
16. Bucknell/Saint Francis (NY)
8. San Diego State
9. Temple
4. Oklahoma
13. Eastern Washington
5. Wichita State
12. Harvard
2. Kansas
15. North Carolina Central
7. SMU
10. LSU
3. Louisville
14. South Dakota State
6. West Virginia
11. Iowa
SOUTH
1. Duke
16. Albany
8. Georgia
9. St. John's
4. Utah
13. Louisiana Tech
5. Providence
12. North Carolina State/UCLA
2. Arizona
15. William and Mary
7. Georgetown
10. Illinois
3. Maryland
14. Bowling Green
6. Northern Iowa
11. Xavier
Last 4 in: North Carolina State, Pittsburgh, Tulsa, UCLA
First 4 out: Texas A&M, BYU, Boise State, Purdue
Next 4 out: UMass, Miami (FL), Old Dominion, Wyoming
Teams in BOLD are conference leaders (projected auto-bids)
1. Kentucky
16. New Mexico State/Texas Southern
8. Michigan State
9. Texas
4. Baylor
13. Iona
5. Butler
12. Wofford
2. Wisconsin
15. Florida Gulf Coast
7. Oklahoma State
10. Cincinnati
3. Notre Dame
14. UC Davis
6. Arkansas
11. Stanford
WEST
1. Villanova
16. Louisiana-Monroe
8. Dayton
9. Colorado State
4. North Carolina
13. Murray State
5. Virginia Commonwealth
12. Valpo
2. Gonzaga
15. High Point
7. Ohio State
10. Ole Miss
3. Iowa State
14. Sam Houston State
6. Indiana
11. Pittsburgh/Tulsa
EAST
1. Virginia
16. Bucknell/Saint Francis (NY)
8. San Diego State
9. Temple
4. Oklahoma
13. Eastern Washington
5. Wichita State
12. Harvard
2. Kansas
15. North Carolina Central
7. SMU
10. LSU
3. Louisville
14. South Dakota State
6. West Virginia
11. Iowa
SOUTH
1. Duke
16. Albany
8. Georgia
9. St. John's
4. Utah
13. Louisiana Tech
5. Providence
12. North Carolina State/UCLA
2. Arizona
15. William and Mary
7. Georgetown
10. Illinois
3. Maryland
14. Bowling Green
6. Northern Iowa
11. Xavier
Last 4 in: North Carolina State, Pittsburgh, Tulsa, UCLA
First 4 out: Texas A&M, BYU, Boise State, Purdue
Next 4 out: UMass, Miami (FL), Old Dominion, Wyoming
Teams in BOLD are conference leaders (projected auto-bids)
Tuesday, February 3, 2015
2/3 Bracketology
MIDWEST
1. Kentucky
16. Albany/Texas Southern
8. Dayton
9. Colorado State
4. Butler
13. Stephen F. Austin
5. Utah
12. Wofford
2. Wisconsin
15. Georgia Southern
7. SMU
10. Stanford
3. Maryland
14. North Carolina Central
6. Georgetown
11. Old Dominion
WEST
1. Kansas
16. Sacramento State
8. San Diego State
9. Georgia
4. Virginia Commonwealth
13. Iona
5. West Virginia
12. Iowa/Tennessee
2. Gonzaga
15. South Dakota State
7. Northern Iowa
10. Michigan State
3. Louisville
14. High Point
6. Arkansas
11. Tulsa
EAST
1. Duke
16. Bucknell/Saint Francis (NY)
8. Seton Hall
9. Oklahoma State
4. Wichita State
13. Murray State
5. Providence
12. Green Bay
2. Villanova
15. Florida Gulf Coast
7. Texas
10. North Carolina State
3. North Carolina
14. UC Davis
6. Oklahoma
11. Davidson
SOUTH
1. Virginia
16. New Mexico State
8. Cincinnati
9. LSU
4. Notre Dame
13. Louisiana Tech
5. Baylor
12. Yale
2. Arizona
15. Kent State
7. Ohio State
10. Xavier
3. Iowa State
14. William and Mary
6. Indiana
11. Texas A&M/St. John's
Last 4 in: Texas A&M, Iowa, Tennessee, St. John's
First 4 out: Ole Miss, George Washington, Miami (FL), Wyoming
Next 4 out: Boise State, Pittsburgh, BYU, Temple
Teams in bold are conference leaders (auto bids).
Monday, January 26, 2015
1/26 Bracketology
MIDWEST
1. Kentucky
16. Bucknell/Texas Southern
8. San Diego State
9. Georgia
4. Notre Dame
13. Yale
5. Butler
12. Wofford
2. Wisconsin
15. South Dakota State
7. Oklahoma
10. Xavier
3. North Carolina
14. UC Davis
6. Baylor
11. Colorado State
WEST
1. Kansas
16. New Mexico State
8. Northern Iowa
9. Oklahoma State
4. Utah
13. Iona
5. Georgetown
12. Green Bay
2. Gonzaga
15. Kent State
7. Dayton
10. Seton Hall
3. Iowa State
14. Northeastern
6. Providence
11. Washington/St. John's
EAST
1. Virginia
16. North Florida/Saint Francis (NY)
8. SMU
9. Michigan State
4. West Virginia
13. Stephen F. Austin
5. Louisville
12. Wyoming
2. Villanova
15. Georgia Southern
7. Cincinnati
10. Miami (FL)
3. Virginia Commonwealth
14. North Carolina Central
6. Indiana
11. Tulsa
SOUTH
1. Duke
16. Albany
8. Stanford
9. Ohio State
4. Wichita State
13. Murray State
5. Arkansas
12. Western Kentucky
2. Arizona
15. Sacramento State
7. LSU
10. Iowa
3. Maryland
14. High Point
6. Texas
11. Old Dominion/Davidson
Last 4 in: St. John's, Old Dominion, Washington, Davidson
First 4 out: NC State, Tennessee, George Washington, Texas A&M
Next 4 out: Ole Miss, Syracuse, UConn, Alabama
Teams in bold are conference leaders (auto-bids)
1. Kentucky
16. Bucknell/Texas Southern
8. San Diego State
9. Georgia
4. Notre Dame
13. Yale
5. Butler
12. Wofford
2. Wisconsin
15. South Dakota State
7. Oklahoma
10. Xavier
3. North Carolina
14. UC Davis
6. Baylor
11. Colorado State
WEST
1. Kansas
16. New Mexico State
8. Northern Iowa
9. Oklahoma State
4. Utah
13. Iona
5. Georgetown
12. Green Bay
2. Gonzaga
15. Kent State
7. Dayton
10. Seton Hall
3. Iowa State
14. Northeastern
6. Providence
11. Washington/St. John's
EAST
1. Virginia
16. North Florida/Saint Francis (NY)
8. SMU
9. Michigan State
4. West Virginia
13. Stephen F. Austin
5. Louisville
12. Wyoming
2. Villanova
15. Georgia Southern
7. Cincinnati
10. Miami (FL)
3. Virginia Commonwealth
14. North Carolina Central
6. Indiana
11. Tulsa
SOUTH
1. Duke
16. Albany
8. Stanford
9. Ohio State
4. Wichita State
13. Murray State
5. Arkansas
12. Western Kentucky
2. Arizona
15. Sacramento State
7. LSU
10. Iowa
3. Maryland
14. High Point
6. Texas
11. Old Dominion/Davidson
Last 4 in: St. John's, Old Dominion, Washington, Davidson
First 4 out: NC State, Tennessee, George Washington, Texas A&M
Next 4 out: Ole Miss, Syracuse, UConn, Alabama
Teams in bold are conference leaders (auto-bids)
Wednesday, January 21, 2015
1/21 Bracketology
MIDWEST
1. Kentucky
16. Mercer/Texas Southern
8. Indiana
9. Oklahoma State
4. Wichita State
13. Buffalo
5. Louisville
12. Tulsa
2. Wisconsin
15. Louisiana-Monroe
7. San Diego State
10. SMU
3. Maryland
14. High Point
6. Texas
11. Georgia
WEST
1. Duke
16. Albany
8. Old Dominion
9. Iowa
4. Utah
13. Iona
5. Notre Dame
12. Harvard
2. Gonzaga
15. Sacramento State
7. Arkansas
10. Ohio State
3. Virginia Commonwealth
14. Eastern Illinois
6. Baylor
11. St. John’s/Tennessee
EAST
1. Virginia
16. Colgate/Seattle
8. Northern Iowa
9. North Carolina State
4. West Virginia
13. North Carolina Central
5. Butler
12. Eastern Washington
2. Kansas
15. St. Francis (NY)
7. Dayton
10. Xavier
3. North Carolina
14. Sam Houston State
6. Seton Hall
11. George Washington
SOUTH
1. Villanova
16. North Florida
8. Michigan State
9. Cincinnati
4. Oklahoma
13. Valpo
5. Georgetown
12. Louisiana Tech
2. Arizona
15. North Dakota State
7. Stanford
10. LSU
3. Iowa State
14. Northeastern
6. Providence
11. Syracuse/Washington
Last 4 in: St. John's, Washington, Syracuse, Tennessee
First 4 out: Wyoming, Colorado State, Miami (FL), Alabama
Next 4 out: Temple, BYU, Ole Miss, Texas A&M
Teams in BOLD are auto-bids (conference leaders)
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