Sunday, March 15, 2015

3/15 Bracketology - FINAL

Final bracket of 2015

MIDWEST

1. Kentucky
16. Hampton/Manhattan

8. Iowa
9. Cincinnati

4. North Carolina
13. Georgia State

5. Northern Iowa
12. Wofford

2. Virginia
15. Albany

7. Georgetown
10. Temple

3. Iowa State
14. Northeastern

6. Butler
11. Boise State

WEST

1. Wisconsin
16. Coastal Carolina

8. Oregon
9. Davidson

4. West Virginia
13. Harvard

5. Wichita State
12. Stephen F. Austin

2. Arizona
15. Lafayette

7. St. John's
10. North Carolina State

3. Oklahoma
14. UC Irvine

6. Providence
11. Georgia/Indiana

EAST

1. Villanova
16. North Florida/Robert Morris

8. Ohio State
9. Dayton

4. Utah
13. Eastern Washington

5. SMU
12. Buffalo

2. Kansas
15. New Mexico State

7. San Diego State
10. Purdue

3. Maryland
14. North Dakota State

6. Virginia Commonwealth
11. LSU

SOUTH

1. Duke
16. Texas Southern

8. Xavier
9. Colorado State

4. Baylor
13. Valpo

5. Louisville
12. Wyoming

2. Gonzaga
15. UAB

7. Michigan State
10. Oklahoma State

3. Notre Dame
14. Belmont

6. Arkansas
11. Texas/BYU

Last 4 in: Indiana, Georgia, Texas, BYU
First 4 out: Ole Miss, Tulsa, UCLA, Texas A&M
Next 4 out: Miami (FL), Murray State, Old Dominion, UConn

Teams in bold are conference champions/auto-bids

3/15 Bracketology

Second to last bracket of the year....

MIDWEST

1. Kentucky
16. Hampton/Manhattan

8. Iowa
9. Cincinnati

4. North Carolina
13. Georgia State

5. Northern Iowa
12. Wofford

2. Wisconsin
15. North Dakota State

7. Georgetown
10. Temple

3. Iowa State
14. Northeastern

6. Butler
11. Boise State

WEST

1. Virginia
16. Coastal Carolina

8. Oregon
9. Davidson

4. West Virginia
13. Harvard

5. Wichita State
12. Stephen F. Austin

2. Arizona
15. Lafayette

7. St. John's
10. North Carolina State

3. Oklahoma
14. UC Irvine

6. Providence
11. Georgia/Indiana

EAST

1. Villanova
16. North Florida/Robert Morris

8. Ohio State
9. Dayton

4. Utah
13. Eastern Washington

5. SMU
12. Buffalo

2. Kansas
15. New Mexico State

7. San Diego State
10. Purdue

3. Maryland
14. Belmont

6. Virginia Commonwealth
11. LSU

SOUTH

1. Duke
16. Texas Southern

8. Xavier
9. Colorado State

4. Baylor
13. Valpo

5. Louisville
12. Wyoming

2. Gonzaga
15. UAB

7. Michigan State
10. Oklahoma State

3. Notre Dame
14. Albany

6. Arkansas
11. Texas/BYU

Last 4 in: Indiana, Georgia, Texas, BYU
First 4 out: Ole Miss, UCLA, Tulsa, Texas A&M
Next 4 out: Miami (FL), Murray State, Old Dominion, UConn

Teams in bolded blue are conference leaders who haven't won their conference tourney/auto-bid yet
Teams in bolded black have already won their conference tourney/auto-bid

Saturday, March 14, 2015

3/14 Bracketology

MIDWEST

1. Kentucky
16. Delaware State/Manhattan

8. St. John's
9. Cincinnati

4. North Carolina
13. UC Irvine

5. Northern Iowa
12. Wofford

2. Wisconsin
15. Coastal Carolina

7. Virginia Commonwealth
10. Temple

3. Iowa State
14. Northeastern

6. Georgetown
11. Boise State

WEST

1. Duke
16. Montana

8. Oregon
9. Davidson

4. West Virginia
13. Harvard

5. Wichita State
12. Stephen F. Austin

2. Arizona
15. Lafayette

7. Iowa
10. North Carolina State

3. Oklahoma
14. North Dakota State

6. Arkansas
11. Texas/Indiana

EAST

1. Villanova
16. North Florida/Robert Morris

8. Ohio State
9. Dayton

4. Utah
13. Georgia State

5. SMU
12. Valpo

2. Kansas
15. New Mexico State

7. San Diego State
10. Purdue

3. Maryland
14. Belmont

6. Butler
11. Georgia

SOUTH

1. Virginia
16. Texas Southern

8. Xavier
9. Colorado State

4. Baylor
13. Central Michigan

5. Louisville
12. BYU/Ole Miss

2. Gonzaga
15. UAB

7. Michigan State
10. Oklahoma State

3. Notre Dame
14. Albany

6. Providence
11. LSU

Last 4 in: Indiana, Texas, BYU, Ole Miss
First 4 out: Tulsa, UCLA, Miami (FL), Texas A&M
Next 4 out: Old Dominion, Murray State, Illinois, Richmond

Teams in bolded blue are conference leaders who haven't won their conference tourney/auto-bid yet
Teams in bolded black have already won their conference tourney/auto-bid

Friday, March 13, 2015

3/13 Bracketology

MIDWEST

1. Kentucky
16. Montana/Manhattan

8. Michigan State
9. Oregon

4. North Carolina
13. Valpo

5. Northern Iowa
12. Wofford

2. Wisconsin
15. Albany

7. Virginia Commonwealth
10. Boise State

3. Iowa State
14. Belmont

6. Georgetown
11. Indiana

WEST

1. Villanova
16. Coastal Carolina

8. Cincinnati
9. Davidson

4. Notre Dame
13. Harvard

5. Wichita State
12. BYU/UCLA

2. Arizona
15. North Carolina Central

7. Iowa
10. North Carolina State

3. Oklahoma
14. UC Davis

6. Arkansas
11. Purdue

EAST

1. Virginia
16. North Florida/Robert Morris

8. Ohio State
9. Xavier

4. Utah
13. Georgia State

5. SMU
12. Louisiana Tech

2. Kansas
15. New Mexico State

7. San Diego State
10. LSU

3. Maryland
14. Northeastern

6. Butler
11. Temple

SOUTH

1. Duke
16. Texas Southern

8. Dayton
9. Colorado State

4. West Virginia
13. Central Michigan

5. Louisville
12. Stephen F. Austin

2. Gonzaga
15. Lafayette

7. St. John's
10. Oklahoma State

3. Baylor
14. North Dakota State

6. Providence
11. Texas/Georgia

Last 4 in: Georgia, Texas, BYU, UCLA
First 4 out: Ole Miss, Texas A&M, Tulsa, Miami (FL)
Next 4 out: Old Dominion, Murray State, Richmond, Illinois

Teams in bolded blue are conference leaders who have not won their conference tourney/auto-bid yet
Teams in bolded black have already won their conference tourney/auto-bid

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

3/10 Bracketology

MIDWEST

1. Kentucky
16. Lafayette/North Florida

8. Cincinnati
9. Oklahoma State

4. Notre Dame
13. Central Michigan

5. Northern Iowa
12. Stephen F. Austin

2. Wisconsin
15. Albany

7. San Diego State
10. Georgia

3. Iowa State
14. Northeastern

6. Wichita State
11. North Carolina State

WEST

1. Villanova
16. Coastal Carolina

8. Dayton
9. Ohio State

4. Utah
13. Harvard

5. North Carolina
12. Wofford

2.  Gonzaga
15. Belmont

7. Virginia Commonwealth
10. LSU

3. Maryland
14. Eastern Washington

6. Georgetown
11. Illinois/Texas

EAST

1. Virginia
16. Texas Southern/Robert Morris

8. Xavier
9. Colorado State

4. West Virginia
13. Valpo

5. Arkansas
12. Louisiana Tech

2. Kansas
15. North Carolina Central

7. St. John's
10. Oregon

3. Oklahoma
14. UC Davis

6. Providence
11. Indiana

SOUTH

1. Duke
16. Manhattan

8. Michigan State
9. Davidson

4. Louisville
13. Georgia State

5. Butler
12. Temple/Purdue

2. Arizona
15. New Mexico State

7. Iowa
10. Boise State

3. Baylor
14. North Dakota State

6. SMU
11. Ole Miss

Last 4 in: Purdue, Texas, Illinois, Temple
First 4 out: BYU, Tulsa, Texas A&M, Miami (FL)
Next 4 out: UCLA, Old Dominion, Stanford, Murray State

Teams in bolded blue are conference leaders who have not yet won their conference tourney/auto-bid
Teams in bolded black have already won their conference tourney/auto-bid

Monday, March 9, 2015

3/9 Bracketology

MIDWEST

1. Kentucky
16. Lafayette/North Florida

8. Cincinnati
9. Oklahoma State

4. Notre Dame
13. Iona

5. Northern Iowa
12. Stephen F. Austin

2. Wisconsin
15. Northeastern

7. San Diego State
10. Georgia

3. Iowa State
14. Central Michigan

6. Wichita State
11. North Carolina State

WEST

1. Villanova
16. Coastal Carolina

8. Dayton
9. Ohio State

4. Utah
13. Harvard

5. North Carolina
12. Wofford

2. Gonzaga
15. Belmont

7. Virginia Commonwealth
10. LSU

3. Maryland
14. Eastern Washington

6. Georgetown
11. Illinois/Texas

EAST

1. Virginia
16. Texas Southern/Saint Francis (NY)

8. Xavier
9. Colorado State

4. West Virginia
13. Valpo

5. Arkansas
12. Louisiana Tech

2. Kansas
15. North Carolina Central

7. St. John's
10. Oregon

3. Oklahoma
14. UC Davis

6. Providence
11. Indiana

SOUTH

1. Duke
16. Albany

8. Michigan State
9. Davidson

4. Louisville
13. Georgia State

5. Butler
12. Temple/Purdue

2. Arizona
15. New Mexico State

7. Iowa
10. Boise State

3. Baylor
14. South Dakota State

6. SMU
11. Ole Miss

Last 4 in: Purdue, Texas, Illinois, Temple
First 4 out: BYU, Tulsa, Texas A&M, Miami (FL)
Next 4 out: UCLA, Old Dominion, Stanford, Murray State

Teams in bolded blue are conference leaders who have not yet won their conference tourney/auto-bid
Teams in bolded black have already won their conference tourney/auto-bid

Wednesday, February 25, 2015

2015 conference tournaments and homecourt advantage

Regular season basketball is winding down and some conferences will wrap up their regular season play this weekend. In six leagues, the higher-seeded team is allowed to host tournament games. These leagues are the Atlantic Sun, American East, Big Sky, Horizon League, Northeast League, and the Patriot League. The following post details which teams may have the the opportunity to play their way to the NCAA Tourney on their homecourt.

American East

Albany is very much in the driver's seat at this point, and with a win tonight at UMBC (4-23) they clinch the #1 seed and homecourt advantage in the conference tournament. If they are upset by UMBC, the Vermont Catamounts are the only other team that has a mathematical shot at getting the top seed. Vermont can get the #1 seed with a win tonight vs New Hampshire, a Albany loss at UMBC, and then beating Albany on Saturday. There's more, though: Vermont would need Stony Brook to finish #3 in the final American East standings to get the #1 seed due to the American East tiebreaker rules. If New Hampshire is the #3 seed, then Albany gets the top spot, again due to American East tiebreaker rules. Bottom line is that Albany should clinch the top seed and homecourt advantage tonight, but if they lose, it does get a little interesting.

Atlantic Sun

Florida Gulf Coast hosts North Florida tonight in what will very likely decide the ASUN's 1 seed and who will have homecourt advantage for their conference tournament. FGCU clinches the 1 seed with a win, North Florida is 1 game back of them but would have the tiebreaker over FGCU if one is needed. North Florida could force a tie with a win tonight at FGCU, then would need to beat last-place Stetson at home this weekend. Again, this scenario would create a 2-way tie between FGCU/UNF and the nod would go to UNF due to tiebreaker rules in the Atlantic Sun.

Horizon League

Valpo clinches the top seed with a win at Detroit tonight, but a loss puts Cleveland State (and Oakland and UW-Green Bay, but a little less likely) firmly in the discussion to take the #1 seed. A loss tonight puts Valpo at 12-3 in conference play setting up a massive game at Cleveland State on Friday night. In the event that both teams end up at 12-4 (which will happen if Valpo loses their next 2), crazy tiebreaker rules come into play. In the event of a tie, if Green Bay finishes in 3rd, Cleveland State gets the 1 seed (This is because Valpo is 1-1 vs UWGB, while Cleveland State is 2-0). If Oakland finishes 3rd, both teams would still be tied because both split the season series with Oakland. In this scenario, the next tiebreaker would be how CSU/Valpo fared against the 4 seed, who would be UWGB in this scenario. So, Cleveland State would again get the nod. Things get very weird if there is a 3 way tie, and won't get into that in this post. Valpo can take care of business tonight, but if they don't, it could get wild.

Northeast League

St. Francis (NY) has already clinched the 1 seed and homecourt advantage

Patriot League

Bucknell has a 2 game lead over Colgate with 2 games to play, but the Bison play both games on the road, so Colgate still has a mathematical chance. If Bucknell finishes 0-2, and Colgates finishes 2-0, then Colgate gets the 1 seed and homecourt advantage because they own the head-to-head tie over Bucknell.

Note: I didn't get to the Big Sky because they don't finish up conference play until next weekend, plus 4 teams have a legit shot at getting the #1 seed.